| Re:Boltons Buch |  |
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>>What. The. Fuck. Das ist alles so derart hart. Und es wird wieder folgenlos bleiben. Mehr noch, er wird wiedergewählt werden.
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>Nicht unwahrscheinlich, aber auch nichts wo ich (viel) drauf wetten würde. Er hat seine harte Basis, aber ob die alleine reicht ist fraglich.
Vor ein paar Tagen hatte ich einen Bericht über aktuelles Polling gelesen, nach denen er alle untersuchten (sechs, iirc) Battleground States gegen Biden verlieren würde, auch und gerade welche, die er 2016 noch komfortabel gewonnen hatte. Moment, ich schau mal im Browserverlauf nach, ob ich das noch finde...
Hier: War doch ein OpEd in der WaPo von der konservativen NeverTrumperin Jennifer Rubin:
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[https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/06/17/so-who-is-fall-guy-trumps-sputtering-campaign/#comments-wrapper]
"President Trump’s campaign is in free fall. New polling released Tuesday showed he is 16 points behind former vice president Joe Biden in Michigan"
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"A Democratic Public Policy Polling survey shows him trailing Biden by two points — in Georgia. The Daily Kos/Civiqs poll had him behind Biden by a 49-to-45 margin — in Arizona."
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"To make matters worse, his campaign has been spending loads of money in many of the states where he is behind. The Associated Press reports, “President Donald Trump’s campaign manager warned in late spring that his juggernaut political operation — the ‘Death Star,’ he called it — was about to start ‘pressing FIRE’ for the first time.” Well, he did fire to the tune of $24 million in six battleground states: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Polling continues to show him losing in every one of these, in some cases (e.g., Michigan) by large margins. Was Trump firing blanks, or would the polling have been even worse without the ad spending?"
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"As the AP reports, “The president spent almost $5.6 million on television and online advertising in Florida between April 26 and June 6.” In the latest polls from TIPP taken between June 9 and 11, he trails in Florida by 10 points or more; before that, polls from May showed him losing by three points."
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Und, klar, die Polls lagen 2016 auch daneben und weiß der Teufel, wie gesittet die Wahl letztlich ablaufen wird mit Cornavirus-Einschränkungen und Briefwahl. Aber aktuell sieht's anscheinend bitter für ihn aus.