Thema:
Bereits bis zu 20Mio Corona Fälle in Italien? flat
Autor: Transistor
Datum:04.04.20 15:41
Antwort auf:Corona around the world - Situation anderer Laender von jokerone

Von Worldometers und die wiederum von [https://rep.repubblica.it/pwa/locali/2020/04/03/news/milano_la_ricerca_dell_universita_statale_i_contagi_reali_in_italia_potrebbero_essere_5_milioni_-253027121/]


"Italy: the real number of COVID-19 cases in the country could be 5,000,0000 (compared to the 119,827 confirmed ones) according to a study which polled people with symptoms who have not been tested, and up to 10,000,000 or even 20,0000,000 after taking into account asymptomatic cases, according to Carlo La Vecchia, a Professor of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology at the Statale di Milano University.

This number would still be insufficient to reach herd immunity, which would require 2/3 of the population (about 40,000,000 people in Italy) having contracted the virus"

Wenn das stimmt sollte das Ganze doch in Italien bald ohne Maßnahmen mehr oder minder abnehmen, oder? Ab 2/3 gibt es die Herdenimmunität aber bereits vorher sollte sich doch eine positive Wirkung auf den Anstieg der Fallzahlen ergeben?

Transistor


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