| Kamala baut Vorsprung aus. Klarer Favorit nun. |  |
Und die Zahlen sind alle von VOR dem extrem erfolgreichen RNC.
[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/]
538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.
Harris wins 59 times out of 100
in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
Trump wins 40 times out of 100.
There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.